Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 3.977752 4.259517 4.565322 4.924506 5.338336 5.804608 6.376231
2025-02-16 3.533384 3.897017 4.314443 4.837333 5.487431 6.287757 7.380283
2025-02-23 3.194411 3.600670 4.087192 4.728550 5.578596 6.711950 8.431786
2025-03-02 2.885579 3.303083 3.818563 4.524562 5.508390 6.910086 9.250455
2025-03-09 2.683088 3.114996 3.663614 4.443059 5.585015 7.329942 10.580531
2025-03-16 2.478781 2.905933 3.459347 4.266497 5.493723 7.473864 11.519469
2025-03-23 2.367911 2.808286 3.392576 4.272756 5.675791 8.110929 13.807449
2025-03-30 2.256365 2.700481 3.300996 4.229752 5.770406 8.623735 16.255694
2025-04-06 2.143606 2.582962 3.185532 4.136409 5.763932 8.943548 18.552052
2025-04-13 2.026465 2.452376 3.041846 3.984298 5.631259 8.969146 20.019580
2025-04-20 1.979465 2.416026 3.031285 4.041338 5.884134 9.928474 26.681317
2025-04-27 1.950642 2.402878 3.052944 4.152091 6.259853 11.365345 41.333165
2025-05-04 1.903318 2.366375 3.045478 4.229492 6.625806 13.144776 82.756475
2025-05-11 1.850987 2.319784 3.019443 4.273187 6.941165 15.110679 326.367369
2025-05-18 1.791361 2.259122 2.966921 4.263490 7.140283 16.949905 NaN
2025-05-25 1.715020 2.169641 2.862363 4.145691 7.056188 17.597611 NaN
2025-06-01 1.661137 2.111454 2.804907 4.112006 7.180110 19.470809 NaN
2025-06-08 1.593412 2.029173 2.703036 3.982062 7.026796 19.768247 NaN
2025-06-15 1.558510 1.995494 2.679523 4.004518 7.294289 23.138099 NaN
2025-06-22 1.517583 1.950550 2.634186 3.978007 7.420498 26.031751 NaN
2025-06-29 1.471187 1.895176 2.568064 3.902363 7.385930 27.701246 NaN
2025-07-06 1.418270 1.827789 2.478346 3.770518 7.156464 27.203900 NaN
2025-07-13 1.399213 1.812736 2.477584 3.825892 7.526941 34.573607 NaN